An Honest Look at What Our Own Forecasts Got Wrong
We audited a year of our published expectations against what actually happened. Here is what the misses had in common.
News
More NewsFood Manufacturers Reformulate to Meet New Sugar Targets
Several producers are changing recipes ahead of a regulatory deadline, with reformulation timelines running into next year.
Freight Forwarders Report a Busy Peak Season Despite Softer Spot Rates
Volumes rose while pricing on spot lanes softened, a combination operators attribute to added capacity rather than weaker demand.
Commodity Traders Brace for a Heavy Supply Data Run
Inventory and production reports across energy and metals are due within days, and positioning reflects it.
Currency Volatility Hits a Three-Month High
Options pricing points to wider swings, driven by a cluster of policy announcements in the coming week.
Blog
More BlogSmall Caps Outperform as Rate Expectations Shift
The smaller index gained more ground than the large-cap benchmark, a pattern consistent with easing financial conditions.
Index Futures Point to a Higher Open Ahead of Earnings
Pre-market pricing suggested a positive start, with traders positioned for a heavy results calendar later in the week.
Distribution Timing Beats Posting Frequency
Publishing the right ten stories at the right hour outperforms posting twenty at random. How we decide when a piece reaches the front page.
Turning Wire Copy Into Something a Reader Can Use
Six edits that convert an agency wire item into a briefing line: strip the throat-clearing, name the actor, quantify the change, state the base.
Markets
More MarketsA Practical Framework for Sourcing Business News
Where the signal actually comes from: filings, earnings calls, regulatory disclosures and the numbers behind the headlines.
Breaking News Etiquette: What to Publish and When
Speed matters, but accuracy matters more. A practical guide to holding a story, running a partial, and correcting in public.
Bank Expands Its Trade Finance Product to Mid-Market Clients
The facility has been widened in size and extended in tenor, with the bank citing demand from firms that have outgrown standard working-capital lines.
Two Major Export Regions Report Better-than-Expected Harvests
Crop estimates from two of the world's key exporters came in above forecast, easing supply concerns for importers and putting pressure on futures contracts.
Industry
More IndustrySoftware Listings Jump on Takeover Speculation
Shares in a mid-sized enterprise software vendor rose sharply after reports of takeover interest, though the company declined to confirm any discussions.
Consumer Confidence Holds Steady Ahead of the Shopping Quarter
A widely watched monthly survey came in broadly in line, with household spending intentions little changed and inflation expectations continuing to ease.
Logistics Operator Announces Expanded Port Capacity
A major container operator confirmed a multi-year expansion of terminal capacity, adding berths and yard space that management expects to shorten average vessel turnaround times.